Cardano Price Outlook as DeFi TVL Tanks Despite Leios Upgrade Hype

Muthoni Mary
Muthoni Mary is a seasoned crypto market analyst and writer with over three years of experience decoding blockchain trends, price movements, and market dynamics. She holds a Bachelor’s Degree in Commerce (Finance) from Kenyatta University, blending a solid academic foundation with a sharp eye for technical analysis and a deep understanding of on-chain data. Her work delivers clear, data-driven insights that empower investors to navigate the fast-evolving digital asset space with confidence. When she’s not analyzing the markets, Mary enjoys reading and travelling.
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CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights to our readers. Our journal analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.
Cardano Price Outlook as DeFi TVL Tanks Despite Leios Upgrade Hype

Highlights

  • Cardano price faces bearish pressure amid a notable decline in DeFi TVL.
  • Cardano's Leios upgrade slated for next month, is also failing to drive buying activity.
  • If ADA breaks above a symmetrical triangle pattern, it may surge to $0.28.

Cardano (ADA) has not done well for months now. Even when the rest of the market was going up, Cardano’s gains have been somewhat small, and its chart shows a coin that is under stress from bears. But the Leios upgrade is coming up next month, and there was an expectation that this was going to be good for Cardano price. But this might not be the case because even the DeFi TVL is going down.

Cardano’s DeFi TVL Drops Despite Upcoming Leios Upgrade

Data from DeFiLlama shows that the DeFi TVL on Cardano is not in a good place. It has lost more than 23 million ADA tokens in almost three weeks. But this might not just be happening with Cardano because ongoing DeFi hacks are causing havoc, and people are scrambling to exit.

This drop is not doing Cardano price any good. While Bitcoin is surging, Cardano price is down by 0.5% in one week. And what this means is that there is not much activity going on. Sellers might be tired from continuous selling, and buyers are not getting any incentive to buy.

The dropping TVL is also happening despite Hoskinson’s plan to get DeFi on Bitcoin. He said that ADA will be used by those who want DeFi on Bitcoin, but this has not been enough to move the TVL up.

But all this is happening when the Leios upgrade is getting near. It will happen in June, and what usually happens with upgrades like this is that the price goes up. But it only has weeks to the event, and nothing much is going on with the long-term Cardano price forecast.

Cardano Price Outlook as Bullish Momentum Grows

Cardano has been squeezing in a triangle, and this is one setup that is neither bullish nor bearish unless there is a move to either side. Now, the wick is above the upper line, but it has not made a close here for there to be any certainty that it is definitely going up.

If this pattern is favoring bulls, it will make this upward move, but if it is favoring bears, it will go below the line.

From the top to the bottom is a 13% move. A 13% move means that if ADA can just move above the upper line, it will get to $0.28 from where it is now. A previous CoinGape Cardano price analysis had also said it might get to $0.31

Cardano Price Outlook as DeFi TVL Tanks Despite Leios Upgrade Hype
ADA Price Chart

Even the indicators show Cardano could go either way. The RSI is neutral at 49. And that is not all, because the AO bars are very small, to show the momentum is weak.

This shows that there is no certainty that Cardano price will go up or down, and it might not make any big jumps until either buyers or sellers win.

It is important to note that Cardano is a highly volatile asset. Do your own research and analysis before making an investment decision. 

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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

1. When will Cardano Leios upgrade happen?

The Cardano Leios upgrade testnet is scheduled for June 2026.

2. Can ADA price recover from record lows?

If buyers start buying Cardano at the current prices, it could surge to $0.28 due to a symmetrical triangle breakout.

3. Why is Cardano's DeFi TVL dropping?

Cardano's DeFi TVL is dropping amid a bearish outlook towards DeFi platforms due to ongoing hacks.
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Why Trust CoinGape

CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights Read more…to our readers. Our journal analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.

ADA

Cardano

$0.25268400 1.03413% (24h)

24 Hours volume

$428.96M

Market Cap

$9.35B

Max Supply

45B

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About Author
About Author
Muthoni Mary is a seasoned crypto market analyst and writer with over three years of experience decoding blockchain trends, price movements, and market dynamics. She holds a Bachelor’s Degree in Commerce (Finance) from Kenyatta University, blending a solid academic foundation with a sharp eye for technical analysis and a deep understanding of on-chain data. Her work delivers clear, data-driven insights that empower investors to navigate the fast-evolving digital asset space with confidence. When she’s not analyzing the markets, Mary enjoys reading and travelling.
Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author’s personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
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