XRP On-Chain Data Signals Massive Rally If Binance Inflows Fall Further

XRP is trading around $1.12, down nearly 5% over the past 24 hours amid broader crypto market consolidation due to the US-Iran war escalation. However, on-chain data signals a potential rally ahead to $1.8-$2 if inflows to Binance fall further.

XRP Inflows to Binance Fall, Signaling Rising Whale Confidence

CryptoQuant on-chain data revealed that XRP inflows into Binance crypto exchange have started to decline. It is particularly recorded in transfers exceeding 1 million coins. The declining XRP inflows indicate weakening selling pressure from large holders.

The subdued inflows to Binance suggest whales are holding rather than preparing to sell. Historically, major crypto market downturns have often preceded sharp spikes in inflows of 100K-1M and 1M+ coins.

Currently, there is no such large surge visible. The on-chain data does not point to aggressive whale selling or widespread profit-taking at this stage. Thus, the recent price decline is likely driven by leverage liquidations and broader crypto market weakness.

“If Binance inflows remain subdued, the available selling supply could continue to decrease. Combined with stronger demand, this would make it easier for XRP to revisit the $1.8-$2.0 range,” according to CryptoQuant data.

Meanwhile, Glassnode data showed a fall in the 90-day SMA of XRP Realized Profit to Loss Ratio to 0.38, indicating intense capitulation. The ratio reached 50 in 2025 when long-term holders and whales started profit booking.

This suggests that short-term holders are currently selling at a loss. Historically, whales and long-term holders have re-entered when the ratio dropped below 1, triggering a reversal and a massive rally in XRP price.

Analysts Predict Price Rally amid Multiple Headwinds?

XRP price fell 5% in the past 24 hours amid Ripple’s transfer to Binance, currently trading at $1.11. The 24-hour low and high are $1.11 and $1.18, respectively. Trading volume dropped by 18% on the last 24 hours, as traders await the US CPI inflation data.

However, crypto analyst Credible Crypto claimed XRP will outperform ETH in the long term once a higher low forms on XRP/ETH pair. He predicts investors will favor Ethereum in the short-to-mid term until the pair drops another 30%.

Analysts such as Ali Martinez predicted a rally to a similar $1.8-$2 range amid multiple headwinds. This includes Kalshi launching XRP perpetuals trading and the upcoming major XRPL upgrade.