SpaceX Stock Outlook Ahead of Q3 Earnings Release on October 20

Muthoni Mary
Muthoni Mary

Muthoni Mary

Market Analyst
Muthoni Mary is a seasoned crypto market analyst and writer with over three years of experience decoding blockchain trends, price movements, and market dynamics. She holds a Bachelor’s Degree in Commerce (Finance) from Kenyatta University, blending a solid academic foundation with a sharp eye for technical analysis and a deep understanding of on-chain data. Her work delivers clear, data-driven insights that empower investors to navigate the fast-evolving digital asset space with confidence. When she’s not analyzing the markets, Mary enjoys reading and travelling.
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CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights to our readers. Our journal analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.
SPCX Stock Surges as Mizuho, Morgan Stanley Double Down on Elon Musk's SpaceX

Highlights

  • SpaceX will release its Q3 2026 earnings results on October 20.
  • Analysts expect a jump in revenue and Earnings Per Share.
  • SpaceX stock faces a drop to $135 of the earnings results fall below estimates.

SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX) stock price is down by 11% in five trading days amid a sell-off across the AI sector. This drop also comes ahead of the company’s Q3 earnings results that are coming out on October 20.

Wall Street expects a jump in the company’s revenue ahead of the earnings results. Speculation around a merger deal with Tesla are also heating up.

SpaceX Investors Await Q3 Earnings Release

Analysts expect SpaceX to report earnings per share of between $0.14 and $0.23, while the revenue is expected to come in at $12.89 billion.

If the EPS meets the analyst estimates, it will be a notable jump from the loss of $0.09 per share reported in SpaceX’s Q2 2026 earnings. The space company had also reported a revenue of $7.81 billion in Q2 2026.

The Q3 earnings are also expected to show a growth in revenue from the Starlink and the space segments.

One day after SpaceX earnings release, Tesla will release its results on October 21, with analysts also expecting an EPS of $0.44 and revenue of $27.8 billion.

As CoinGape reported earlier, Barclays forecasts that SpaceX might announce a deal to acquire Tesla by December 2026.

Data from CoinGape Prediction Markets now shows that there is a 24% chance that the merger announcement occurs before the year ends.

Options Markets Price In a Slight Move for SpaceX Stock

Analyst Panke on X notes that the options is pricing only a 5.3% move in SpaceX stock price through the release of earnings on October 20.

This suggests that the market expects SpaceX stock price to either drop to $140 to rally to $156.

At the same time, Evercore ISI has raised its target on SpaceX stock price from $230 to $275. Evercore analyst Kutgun Maral, opines that SpaceX could close 2026 with an annualized annual revenue of close to $104 billion.

However, JPMorgan has warned that AI stocks might not experience the same swift rebound that stocks recorded in July.

Key Levels to Watch in Spacex Stock Price

The one-day chart for SpaceX stock price shows that the bearish momentum is gaining strength.

The MACD histogram bars are negative and growing in length, while the MACD line that is tipping south suggests that bulls are losing control.

If the downtrend continues, SpaceX stock price might drop to test support at the lower Bollinger band of $138.

SpaceX Stock in Focus Ahead of earnings
Source: TradingView

However, a close above the resistance at the middle band could trigger an upward move towards the crucial resistance at $171.

Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author's personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

1. Will SpaceX rally or crash after earnings?

SpaceX stock price could rally if the Q3 2026 earnings surpass expectations. However, if the earnings fall below expectations, the stock could crash.

2. Are analysts expecting SpaceX to report higher or lower revenues?

Analysts expect SpaceX to report a revenue jump from $7.81 billion in Q2 2026 to $12.89 billion.

Why Trust CoinGape

CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights Read more…to our readers. Our journal analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.

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About Author
About Author
Muthoni Mary is a seasoned crypto market analyst and writer with over three years of experience decoding blockchain trends, price movements, and market dynamics. She holds a Bachelor’s Degree in Commerce (Finance) from Kenyatta University, blending a solid academic foundation with a sharp eye for technical analysis and a deep understanding of on-chain data. Her work delivers clear, data-driven insights that empower investors to navigate the fast-evolving digital asset space with confidence. When she’s not analyzing the markets, Mary enjoys reading and travelling.