SpaceX Stock Price Forecast as Shares Near 3-Month High Amid Rising Tesla Merger Odds

Muthoni Mary
Muthoni Mary

Muthoni Mary

Market Analyst
Muthoni Mary is a seasoned crypto market analyst and writer with over three years of experience decoding blockchain trends, price movements, and market dynamics. She holds a Bachelor’s Degree in Commerce (Finance) from Kenyatta University, blending a solid academic foundation with a sharp eye for technical analysis and a deep understanding of on-chain data. Her work delivers clear, data-driven insights that empower investors to navigate the fast-evolving digital asset space with confidence. When she’s not analyzing the markets, Mary enjoys reading and travelling.
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CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights to our readers. Our journal analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.
SpaceX Stock Prediction Amid Surge to 3-Month High

Highlights

  • SpaceX stock price closed Friday at its highest price since early July.
  • The gains coincide with Tesla's Q3 delivery report that surpassed analyst estimates.
  • SpaceX stock price eyes a move to $165 after breaking above the $151-$154 sell wall.

SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX) stock price surged by 7.35% on October 2 to close trading at $158. These gains pushed the stock to its highest price in nearly three months.

Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) stock also edged higher on October 2 after the EV maker surpassed Q3 deliveries estimates.

SpaceX Stock Price Soars on Rising Tesla Merger Odds

Data from Polymarket shows that there is a 63% chance that SpaceX will merge with Tesla by December 31, 2027. These odds stood at only 47% on September 10.

CoinGape prediction markets also show that there is a 16% chance that this merger could happen before the end of 2026.

Odds of SpaceX-Tesla Merger
Source: CoinGape Prediction Markets

The expectation of the two companies merging in the future could be the reason why SpaceX stock price soared to $158 on October 2 on reports that Tesla’s Q3 deliveries reached 486,532, with this being higher than the analyst estimates of 457,000.

Still, SpaceX had its own bullish news on October 2 after the company launched five missions within six days, with one of them being the launch of Google AI chips into space, as earlier reported by CoinGape.

ARK Invest Remains Bullish on SPCX Shares Despite More Upcoming Unlocks

In a recent X post, ARK Invest noted that SpaceX will likely increase its orbital cargo by 1000 times by 2032.

The fund manager noted that if SpaceX can launch 2.5 million tons into space annually by 2032 as the company expects, it could remain dominant in the space industry.

TD Cowen also recently set a $200 target for SpaceX stock because of the growth potential of AI compute leasing.

These bullish projections come despite two upcoming unlocks in October 2026. On October 9, 328.4 million SpaceX shares will become eligible for selling, after which a similar number of shares will become released on October 24.

SpaceX Stock Forecast as Price Rallies Past Major Sell-Wall

A previous SpaceX stock analysis by CoinGape noted that the price faced a major sell wall between $151 and $154. However, the stock broke this resistance on October 2 amid a surge in buying pressure.

Following this move, SpaceX stock price is now on the verge of making another uptrend towards $165.

The RSI reading of 65 suggests that the bullish momentum is strong after the recent gains. This RSI also shows that SPCX has yet to become overbought despite the price gaining 50% from the August low of $105.

SpaceX Stock Breaks Above Major Sell Wall
SPCX Stock Price (Source: TradingView)

SpaceX support lies at $147, with a move below this price set to invalidate the bullish setup and could result in another downtrend.

Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author's personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

1. Why is SpaceX stock price surging?

SpaceX stock price has surged to a near three-month high amid multiple space launches and Tesla's bullish Q3 deliveries that surpassed estimates.

2. Will SpaceX merge with Tesla in 2026?

The odds of SpaceX merging with Tesla in 2026 are at only 16%. However, there is a 63% chance that the merger occurs in 2027.

3. How high could SpaceX stock price go after the recent gains?

SpaceX stock price could surge to $165 after the recent gains pushed it above a major sell-wall.

Why Trust CoinGape

CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights Read more…to our readers. Our journal analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.

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About Author
About Author
Muthoni Mary is a seasoned crypto market analyst and writer with over three years of experience decoding blockchain trends, price movements, and market dynamics. She holds a Bachelor’s Degree in Commerce (Finance) from Kenyatta University, blending a solid academic foundation with a sharp eye for technical analysis and a deep understanding of on-chain data. Her work delivers clear, data-driven insights that empower investors to navigate the fast-evolving digital asset space with confidence. When she’s not analyzing the markets, Mary enjoys reading and travelling.