Ethereum Price Prediction as ETH ETFs Post Highest Weekly Outflows Since January

Muthoni Mary
Muthoni Mary

Muthoni Mary

Market Analyst
Muthoni Mary is a seasoned crypto market analyst and writer with over three years of experience decoding blockchain trends, price movements, and market dynamics. She holds a Bachelor’s Degree in Commerce (Finance) from Kenyatta University, blending a solid academic foundation with a sharp eye for technical analysis and a deep understanding of on-chain data. Her work delivers clear, data-driven insights that empower investors to navigate the fast-evolving digital asset space with confidence. When she’s not analyzing the markets, Mary enjoys reading and travelling.
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CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights to our readers. Our journal analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.
An image to represent the Ethereum ETFs

Highlights

  • Ethereum price has dropped below the 50-day SMA amid an ongoing sell-off.
  • ETH ETFs also recorded their biggest weekly outflow since late January 2026.
  • 90,000 ETH tokens have also entered exchanges since October 8, pushing Ethereum's exchange balance to a multi-week high.

Ethereum (ETH) price is down by more than 7% in the seven days leading up to October 10, with this drop coming amid weak demand for spot ETH ETFs that have now seen their worst weekly performance since January.

ETH trades at $2,491 at the time of writing after dropping by 0.39% in 24 hours. Trading volumes had also shrunk by 61% to $7.2 billion, per data from CoinMarketCap.

ETH ETF Outflows Surge as Institutional Demand Weakens

Data from SoSoValue shows that Ethereum ETFs recorded outflows of $542 million in the week ended October 9. This marks the highest weekly outflows recorded by these ETH ETFs since late January 2026.

Ethereum Price as ETF Outflows Surge
Source: SosoValue

BlackRock’s iShares Ethereum Trust contributed to the biggest share of these outflows, with $477 million flowing out of the products, with this being the highest weekly outflow by ETHA since December 2025.

SoSoValue also shows that the total outflows from all US-listed crypto ETFs were the highest seen since June, with Bitcoin (BTC) leading the pack with $681 million in outflows.

Ethereum’s Exchange Balance Spikes Amid Ongoing Deleveraging

After Ethereum outperformed Bitcoin in Q3 with a 70% gain, investors seem to be booking profits now, which has caused a surge in the amount of ETH that is available on exchanges to the highest level since September 23.

CoinGlass shows that this exchange balance has increased from 11.71 million ETH on October 8 to 11.8 million ETH on October 9. This shows that 90,000 ETH tokens have entered exchanges in just 24 hours.

Ethereum Exchange Balance Soars
Source: CoinGlass

The increased exchange inflows coincide with reduced demand for Ethereum futures positions. Per CoinGlass, Ethereum’s open interest has dropped from 13.29 million ETH on October 8 to 12.77 million ETH at the time of writing.

The falling OI comes after analysts warned of a deeper correction in Ethereum price after ETH closed below a crucial support level.

Ethereum Prediction as RSI Nears 4-Month Low

Ethereum’s daily chart shows a surging bearish sentiment, with the RSI indicator falling to 39 for the first time since June.

ETH has also dropped below the 50-day SMA, with this move suggesting that the future Ethereum outlook is now favoring bears.

With Ethereum price now trading below the psychological support at $2,500, bears are now eyeing a drop to the 100-day SMA of $2,200.

However, a move to $2,200 depends on whether ETH breaches the immediate support at $2,370.

Ethereum Falls Belowe 50-day SMA
Source: TradingView

If Ethereum price can defend this support at $2,370, considering the easing geopolitical tensions and the recent leverage flush, a sustained uptrend will depend on whether ETH can close above the 50-day SMA.

Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author's personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

1. What is the impact of rising ETH outflows on Ethereum price?

The rising outflows from Ethereum ETFs are bearish for price because the weak demand coincides with a rising supply of ETH on exchanges.

2. How low could ETH price go if the ongoing sell-off persists?

Ethereum price could drop to $2,200 if the ongoing sell-off persists and bears break a crucial support level.

Why Trust CoinGape

CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights Read more…to our readers. Our journal analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.

ETH

Ethereum

$2,650.5400 -2.22037%

24 Hours volume

$12.81B

Market Cap

$323.65B

Max Supply

NA

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About Author
About Author
Muthoni Mary is a seasoned crypto market analyst and writer with over three years of experience decoding blockchain trends, price movements, and market dynamics. She holds a Bachelor’s Degree in Commerce (Finance) from Kenyatta University, blending a solid academic foundation with a sharp eye for technical analysis and a deep understanding of on-chain data. Her work delivers clear, data-driven insights that empower investors to navigate the fast-evolving digital asset space with confidence. When she’s not analyzing the markets, Mary enjoys reading and travelling.