Will MicroStrategy’s S&P 500 Inclusion Mark a Bigger Shift Than Coinbase’s?

The popular corporate Bitcoin buyer, MicroStrategy, is on the verge of S&P 500 inclusion. However, this depends on whether it crosses the prominent threshold, which is cumulative earnings over the last four quarters. As the Q2 2025 report is due on the 30th of this month, and inclusion confirmation is awaited, experts believe MSTR stock price is prone to hit new milestones similar to Coinbase (COIN), which is hitting an ATH today. Let’s discuss.

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Coinbase’s S&P Surge Could Act as a Roadmap for MicroStrategy MSTR

Before MicroStrategy, prominent cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase had already received the S&P 500 inclusion in May. Within a single day of the news breakout, the COIN stock price surged 24%, the biggest ever rally since the Trump election day. This surge was driven by a renewed investor interest and exposure of the stock beyond the crypto investors.

Interestingly, just today, Coinbase’s stock price hit $369.28, a 42-week high. At press time, it is trading at $355.37, but the milestone cannot be ignored, as the S&P 500 inclusion plays a significant role. Now, if MSTR joins, the same could happen with the stock price.

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Will MicroStrategy Receive the S&P 500 Inclusion?

Stock analysts like Jeff Walton claim that there’s a 94.2% chance of MSTR qualifying for the S&P 500. This is because the prominent requirement of the inclusion is US headquarters, market cap among the top 500 stocks, high liquidity, and public float, and the right cumulative earnings over the last 4 quarters, which will be revealed on June 30.

The positive cumulative earnings report will highly depend on the Bitcoin price, which is soaring high, currently at $107.4k. If this level is maintained, MSTR will have its most profitable quarter, clearing the inclusion hurdle.

Once the listing is confirmed, it will become the second major crypto-linked firm after Coinbase. More importantly, it will solidify Bitcoin’s role even in the financial market.

MicroStrategy Prepares For a Bigger Shift Than Coinbase

MicroStrategy’s dominance largely depends on its S&P 500 listing, which experts believe will occur. Once it happens, every index fund tracking the milestone will jump on the MSTR stock buying opportunity. A high demand would push it higher, like the COIN stock price surged 24%.

“If MSTR joins the index, then $15.6T of capital suddenly has to take a position whether fund managers like Bitcoin or not,” claims stock expert Chris.

In an optimistic scenario, this could drive the MSTR stock price to $500 or higher, currently at $388.67. Stock analyst Real Blonde Broker claims that a breakout from $390 could push it toward $404 and higher

$MSTR needs to break out at $390
Idk if it puts in a right shoulder like the left side then goes or if just continues to climb.
$382-386.5 lower levels and $377 support.
$397.8-404.65 upper targets pic.twitter.com/5U7zr7oSiN

— Real Blonde Broker (@blondebroker1) June 26, 2025

With the Bitcoin price rally and ETF inflows, the MSTR stock trajectory is already bullish. An S&P 500 integration could propel it closer to $543, its current 52-week high target.